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Societe Generale predicts that the S&P 500 will reach 6750 by the end of 2025.Pre-market news of U.S. stocks: ① Stock index futures of U.S. stocks fell slightly before the market closed on Monday, global stock markets remained stable, and investors digested geopolitical turmoil. ② As of press time, Dow futures fell 0.07%, S&P 500 futures fell 0.11%, and Nasdaq futures fell 0.15%. (3) Germany's DAX index fell by 0.10%, Britain's FTSE 100 index rose by 0.26%, France's CAC40 index rose by 0.34%, and Europe's Stoxx 50 index fell by 0.02%. ④WTI crude oil rose 1.21% to $68.01/barrel. Brent crude oil rose 1.00% to $71.83/barrel. ⑤ The next test of the financial market is the US consumer price report on Wednesday, which will provide the Fed policymakers with a final observation of the inflation environment before the last meeting this year. The core data is expected to remain at 3.3% in November, which should not hinder the interest rate cut. 6. Analysts of Wall Street banks have basically published their annual forecasts. Their average forecast is that the S&P 500 index will rise by about 10%, which is in line with the historical average. 7 Tesla's share price rose more than 2% before the market, approaching a record high, and the sales growth target for next year is 20-30%. Today, NVIDIA's pre-market diving fell by more than 2%, and the General Administration of Market Supervision decided to file an investigation according to law. Pet-name ruby ultra-micro computers rose more than 12% before trading, and the request for delaying the submission of financial reports was approved by Nasdaq.IShares China large-cap ETF rose 8%, Kraneshares Shanghai-Shenzhen-China Internet ETF rose 10.3%.

Interpretation of the Political Bureau Meeting in December by CITIC Securities: It is estimated that the reverse repo rate will drop by 40-50bps next year, and the LPR and loan interest rates may drop even more. CITIC Securities Research Report pointed out that a new round of policy starting guns will be fired, and the policy inflection point will be reconfirmed, making it clear that the macro policy will be strengthened and effective in 2025. From the perspective of fiscal policy, the meeting called for the implementation of a "more active fiscal policy" and enriched the policy toolbox, which may indicate that in 2025, both deficit ratio in a narrow sense and deficit ratio in a broad sense will be significantly improved, and the focus of policy development is also expected to be marginal in the field of people's livelihood consumption. From the perspective of monetary policy, this Politburo meeting calls for the implementation of a moderately loose monetary policy. This is the first time that China has implemented a moderately loose monetary policy after 2010. It is estimated that the reverse repo rate will drop by 40-50bps next year, and the LPR and loan interest rates may drop even more. From the perspective of domestic demand policy, the statement of expanding domestic demand in an all-round way, especially "vigorously boosting consumption", exceeds market expectations. With the support of the existing policies coming into effect and the policy of increasing domestic demand, the improvement of domestic demand may have strong certainty and sustainability. In addition, in terms of structural policies, on the one hand, the meeting clearly stated that it is necessary to "stabilize the property market and the stock market", and the importance of the stock market continues to be highlighted, and real estate is still in the policy landing period; On the other hand, the meeting emphasized that "scientific and technological innovation leads the development of new quality productive forces", and new industries and future industries are expected to receive further policy support.Tesla once rose above $404, hitting an intraday high since November 2021. The current increase in the day is over 4%, and the intraday market value is 1,299.408 billion US dollars.South Korea's public prosecutor's office issued an arrest warrant against former defense minister Jin Longxian on suspicion of "civil strife and abuse of power". On the 9th local time, the special investigation headquarters of South Korea's public prosecutor's office said that it issued an arrest warrant against former defense minister Jin Longxian on the grounds of "civil strife and abuse of power". On December 5, local time, South Korean prosecutors banned former Defense Minister Jin Longxian from going abroad on the grounds of alleged "civil strife". (World Wide Web)

Tesla once rose above $404, hitting an intraday high since November 2021. The current increase in the day is over 4%, and the intraday market value is 1,299.408 billion US dollars.Ministry of Finance: Leaders of international economic organizations are full of confidence in China's economic transformation and future. The Ministry of Finance held a briefing today (9th). Relevant leaders of the Ministry of Finance introduced the main situation of the "1+10" dialogue and answered questions from reporters. Liao Min, Vice Minister of Finance, said that the heads of international economic organizations are full of confidence in China's economic transformation and future, and expressed their willingness to strengthen cooperation with China to jointly safeguard the process of multilateralism and economic globalization. Liao Min introduced that the dialogue highlighted three key words: commitment, support and cooperation. Ten heads of international economic organizations participated in the dialogue, focusing on the theme of "building consensus on development and promoting global common prosperity", focusing on "seizing the opportunity of change, promoting the transformation and growth of the world economy", "upholding multilateralism, promoting the reform of the global economic governance system" and "China further comprehensively deepening reforms and opening up broad prospects for modernization" Liao Min said: "First, he reiterated his firm commitment to economic globalization and multilateralism; Second, it shows strong support for global economic growth and common development; Third, it has promoted the coordination and cooperation of international economic organizations. China is taking pragmatic and effective measures to intensify countercyclical adjustment, intensify the implementation of macro policies, and do everything possible to boost consumption; Further deepen reform in an all-round way, expand high-level opening to the outside world, and bring greater opportunities for world development. This is the greatest certainty of China's economy to the world economy. " Liao Min said that economic growth in all countries faces common and different challenges. Leaders of international economic organizations attending the meeting highly praised China's great progress in poverty reduction and development and its historic contribution to the world, affirmed and supported China's recent package of incremental policies, and hoped that China would continue to be a "stabilizer" and "power source" for global economic growth. Liao Min said: "We have stepped up counter-cyclical adjustment and taken pragmatic and effective measures to promote sustained economic recovery. The delegates affirmed China's positive progress in supporting economic growth and promoting structural adjustment. China is transforming from an investment-driven growth model to a consumption-and innovation-driven growth model. The successful transformation of China's economy will benefit the global economy. " Liao Min said that the contribution rate of China's economy to world economic growth has remained at around 30% for more than 10 years, and it is an important engine of global development. The underlying logic of China's economic upturn and the principle of benefiting the world have not changed, and it will continue to inject more certainty and predictability into the world economy with its own stable development. (CCTV News)Market information: Tim Kuniskis, the boss of Dodge and Ram, has returned to Stratlandis Stratlandis. Earlier in 2024, Tim Kuniskis resigned as an executive in Stellantis.